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2024-12-13 05:00:28

Citi: The long-term upside of gold is still intact. Analysts of Citi Research said in a report that the long-term upside of gold is still intact. Supported by the continuous deterioration of the US job market, the high interest rate, which hinders economic growth, and the increasing demand for ETFs, the bank continues to believe that gold has room for growth. In the continuous "dollarization", long-term themes such as rising global debt levels also constitute structural benefits for commodities. Citigroup is still optimistic about gold, and its target for the next three months remains unchanged, that is, 2,800 US dollars/ounce, and its target for six to 12 months remains unchanged, that is, 3,000 US dollars/ounce.What does it mean for China's chip exports to exceed one trillion yuan? According to the latest data of the General Administration of Customs today, the export value of integrated circuits in China in the first 11 months was 1.03 trillion yuan, up 20.3% year-on-year. It is not easy for chip exports to break through trillions. In recent years, the United States has continuously suppressed China's chip industry, not only by itself, but also by pulling its allies to "contain" it. In this case, the export of integrated circuits in China continues to grow, which shows that the U.S. sanctions have not stopped the development of China's chip industry. Now, in all aspects of chip manufacturing, design, packaging and testing, China enterprises are far from the most advanced in the world, although there is still a gap, but they all have a certain level. The determination and ability of China chip industry enterprises to catch up have exceeded expectations. (The country is a through train)Wang Zhonglin, Governor of Hubei Province had a discussion with He Xiaopeng, Chairman of Xpeng Motors. On the morning of December 9, Wang Zhonglin, Deputy Secretary of Hubei Provincial Party Committee and Governor, had a discussion with He Xiaopeng, Chairman and CEO of Xpeng Motors. Wang Zhonglin expressed the hope that Xpeng Motors will continue to deepen its cooperation with Hubei, further increase its investment layout in Hubei, expand cooperation space in new energy and intelligent networked vehicles, low-altitude economy, humanoid robots and other fields, promote more new technologies and new products to land in Hubei, and help Hubei forge ahead in promoting scientific and technological innovation and industrial innovation, and accelerate the cultivation and expansion of new quality productivity. He Xiaopeng said that Xpeng Motors will continue to regard Hubei as the key area of business layout, further increase its investment in Hubei, actively promote the transformation and upgrading of Hubei's automobile industry and the development and growth of emerging industries, and make new and greater contributions to accelerating the establishment of Hubei as an important strategic fulcrum for the rise of central China.


Liang Zhonghua of Haitong Securities: The general direction of "positive" macro policy in 2025 has been determined, and the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting on December 9 to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Liang Zhonghua, chief macro analyst of Haitong Securities, said that judging from the statement of the meeting, the general direction of "positive" macro policy in 2025 is certain. Among them, "supernormal countercyclical adjustment" was put forward for the first time. Liang Zhonghua analyzed that "supernormal adjustment" may be different from QE (quantitative easing) in western countries, but refers to a traditional tool that has grown steadily in the past few years, making a breakthrough on the margin and playing the role of "keeping innovation" and "enriching and perfecting the policy toolbox". Judging from the policies that have been issued since September, this round of steady growth is a steady growth under the framework of "high quality". The high-quality framework will not change, and there will be no strong stimulation of flood irrigation. The meeting proposed to "implement a more active fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy". Liang Zhonghua believes that next year's finance is expected to make further marginal efforts. It is expected that deficit ratio may improve. At present, 3.5%-4.0% is more likely, and the scale of special bonds may be marginally increased. Special government bonds supporting "duality" and "two innovations" will continue to be issued or increased. In addition, the debt-melting policy launched in November will also be the financial focus next year, and it is expected that special government bonds may be issued to supplement bank capital. In addition, the gradual interest rate cut will continue next year, and the structural monetary policy will continue to exert its strength. The meeting stressed that "it is necessary to vigorously boost consumption, improve investment efficiency, and expand domestic demand in all directions." In this regard, Liang Zhonghua believes that compared with Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party's statement of "expanding domestic demand with the focus on boosting consumption" in July, this meeting pays more attention to expanding domestic demand, and its support is expected to be further increased in the future. Since the beginning of this year, with the extra-long special national debt funds in place, the consumption of consumer goods trade-in policy has gradually emerged. There is still room for further efforts to expand domestic demand policies such as replacing old consumer goods with new ones next year. Liang Zhonghua also mentioned that this meeting clearly put forward "stabilizing the property market and stock market", which shows that the policy pays high attention to the property market and stock market. As an important signal to pay attention to the economy and expectations, the policies of the property market and stock market are also positive.Google CEO said that its newly released quantum computing chip can complete supercomputing in five minutes. On its newly released quantum computing chip Willow, Google CEO Sundar Pichai said that Willow is an important step to build a useful quantum computer. It has practical applications in drug discovery, fusion energy, battery design and other fields. Its breakthrough can reduce errors exponentially when we use more qubits, and solve the 30-year challenge in this field. In the benchmark test, Willow completed a "standard benchmark calculation" in less than five minutes, and even the fastest supercomputer today takes "10 to the 25th power" years to complete this calculation-this figure is far beyond the age of the universe.TikTok submitted an urgent motion to try to prevent the US ban law from coming into effect. On December 9, local time, ByteDance's TikTok issued a statement in official website and its official account, saying that it had submitted an urgent motion to the US Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit to prevent the TikTok ban law from coming into effect. Earlier, the U.S. Federal Court of Appeals ruled that the decree signed by U.S. President Biden mandatorily requiring ByteDance companies to sell TikTok in the United States should be upheld for national security reasons. (CBN)


Liang Zhonghua of Haitong Securities: The general direction of "positive" macro policy in 2025 has been determined, and the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting on December 9 to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Liang Zhonghua, chief macro analyst of Haitong Securities, said that judging from the statement of the meeting, the general direction of "positive" macro policy in 2025 is certain. Among them, "supernormal countercyclical adjustment" was put forward for the first time. Liang Zhonghua analyzed that "supernormal adjustment" may be different from QE (quantitative easing) in western countries, but refers to a traditional tool that has grown steadily in the past few years, making a breakthrough on the margin and playing the role of "keeping innovation" and "enriching and perfecting the policy toolbox". Judging from the policies that have been issued since September, this round of steady growth is a steady growth under the framework of "high quality". The high-quality framework will not change, and there will be no strong stimulation of flood irrigation. The meeting proposed to "implement a more active fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy". Liang Zhonghua believes that next year's finance is expected to make further marginal efforts. It is expected that deficit ratio may improve. At present, 3.5%-4.0% is more likely, and the scale of special bonds may be marginally increased. Special government bonds supporting "duality" and "two innovations" will continue to be issued or increased. In addition, the debt-melting policy launched in November will also be the financial focus next year, and it is expected that special government bonds may be issued to supplement bank capital. In addition, the gradual interest rate cut will continue next year, and the structural monetary policy will continue to exert its strength. The meeting stressed that "it is necessary to vigorously boost consumption, improve investment efficiency, and expand domestic demand in all directions." In this regard, Liang Zhonghua believes that compared with Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party's statement of "expanding domestic demand with the focus on boosting consumption" in July, this meeting pays more attention to expanding domestic demand, and its support is expected to be further increased in the future. Since the beginning of this year, with the extra-long special national debt funds in place, the consumption of consumer goods trade-in policy has gradually emerged. There is still room for further efforts to expand domestic demand policies such as replacing old consumer goods with new ones next year. Liang Zhonghua also mentioned that this meeting clearly put forward "stabilizing the property market and stock market", which shows that the policy pays high attention to the property market and stock market. As an important signal to pay attention to the economy and expectations, the policies of the property market and stock market are also positive.Wang Bo, former deputy secretary and deputy director of the Standing Committee of the People's Congress of Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region, was expelled from the Party for serious violation of discipline and law. (CCTV News)The trio set up a new digital technology company in Horgos, and the enterprise search APP shows that Horgos moderns Digital Technology Co., Ltd. was recently established, with Ye Gengen as the legal representative and a registered capital of 10 million yuan. Its business scope includes: digital creative product exhibition service; Data processing and storage support services, etc. Enterprise investigation shows that the company is wholly owned by three banks.

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